Deterministic and Stochastic Stability Analysis of a Three Species Eco-System with a Predator and Two Preys

 

Vidyanath. T1*, Lakshmi Narayana. K2, Shahnaz Bathul3

1Dept. of Mathematics, AVNIET, Hyderabad, India

2Dept. of Mathematics, VITS, Hyderabad, India

3Dept. of Mathematics, JNTUH, Hyderabad, India

*Corresponding author E-mail: vidyanath.t@gmail.com

 

ABSTRACT:

In this paper, we study a three species eco-system with a predator and two preys.  Employing suitable techniques like Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Lyapunov, the local and global stability at the interior equilibrium point is analyzed.  Also using Weiner process, the stochastic model corresponding to the deterministic model is constructed and it’s exponential and mean square stability at the trivial solution is derived.  Finally numerical simulations authenticate the existence of the system.

 

KEYWORDS: Prey-predation, Routh-Hurwitz criterion, Global Stability, Stochastic process.

 


1. INTRODUCTION:

In this paper, a three species ecological model has been taken up for stability analysis and stochastic study.  For all the three species, intrinsic growth rates and their carrying capacities are included.  Provided the food, habitat, water and other available resources in the environment, the carrying capacity of a biological species represents the maximum population size of the species. The effects of carrying capacity on population dynamics is approximated in a logistic model which were similar to the famous Lotka-Volterra[1,2] logistic equations.  It varies for different species and may change over time due to various factors.  Every population has the ability to increase in an exponential way but not to an infinite level and these carrying capacities play a vital role in controlling the drastic population growth by resource limitation. 

 

Sometimes the species may die because of some natural reasons, and hence the death coefficients are also included in all the three equations. We also consider the stochastic model of the system by means of a slight change of variables to investigate the stability for the trivial solution. 

 

Eminent mathematicians and ecologists have started contributing in the stochastic models which shows a high degree of accuracy when compared to the deterministic models.  Also the dynamical behavior of the system is studied in terms of local and global stability. Well known ecologists like Freedman[3], Kapur[4], Meyer[5], Cushing[6] have contributed to the growth of this area and developed several models.  Also famous authors like Murray[7] with analysis of  prey-predator model with limit cycle periodic behavior is an escalation of this area of ecology.  Recently Vidyanath et al.[8] and Ranjith Kumar et al.[9] discussed various interacting species models with stochastic nature. 

 

Based on the above, the model under consideration is governed by the following set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations.

(i) Equation for the growth rate of first species (N1):

        (1.1)

(ii) Equation for the growth rate of second species (N2):

       (1.2)

(iii) Equation for the growth rate of third species (N3):

      (1.3)


Based on the above, the model under consideration is governed by the following set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations.

(i)           Equation for the growth rate of first species (N1):

                                                                                                            (1.1)

(ii)          Equation for the growth rate of second species (N2):

                                                                                                             (1.2)

(iii)        Equation for the growth rate of third species (N3):

                                                                                          (1.3)

with the following notations:

Ni’s are the strengths of the i th species.

ri’s are the intrinsic growth rates of Ni’s; i=1,2,3.

θi’s are the death coefficients of the three species.

α is the rate of decrease of N1 due to inhibitions by the predator N3.

α1 is the rate of increase of N3 due to successful attacks on N1.

β is the rate of decrase of N2 due to inhibitions by the predator N3.

β1 is the rate of increase of N3 due to successful attacks on N2.

Li’s are the carrying capacities of Ni’s.                                          

 

2. THE INTERIOR EQUILIBRIUM STATE:

The system under study has eight equilibrium states and our focus is on the interior equilibrium point i.e., the point at which all the three species exists, given by:

 

This state exists only when,

and        

 

 

3. LOCAL STABILITY OF THE INTERIOR EQUILIBRIUM STATE:

Let    =    

Where U = is the perturbation over the equilibrium state. .

The basic equations are linearized to obtain the equations for the perturbed state.

                                                                                                                                                              (3.1)

Where     

With the characteristic equation

               (3.2)

Let       

   

 

                                          

Using Routh-Hurwitz criteria, on simplification, we have, , and

Hence the interior equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable.

 

4. GLOBAL STABILITY:

Statement:          The interior equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable.

Proof:   Let  be the interior equilibrium point.

Consider the following Lyapunov function for the interior equilibrium point:

                              (4.1)

Then calculate  which is obtained as follows

                                                               (4.2)

Substituting, , ,

We  get

                                                       (4.3)

Hence the system is globally asymptotically stable.

 

5. DYNAMICS OF THE STOCHASTIC MODEL:

By a Wiener process ξ(t), we construct the stochastic differential equation whose solutions are continuous sample paths of a wide class of Markov processes as follows:

Where σi, i=1,2,3 are real constants, ξti, (i=1,2,3); independent from each other is a standard Wiener process[10].

 

Let , then the linearized stochastic differential equations take the form:

 

                                                                                                                    (5.1)

Where   and

                     

Let W be the set   Hence  is a continuously differential function with respect to t and twice continuously differentiable function with respect to u.

With reference to the book by Afanasiev et al[11], the following theorem holds:

 and  i,j=1, 2 and T means transposition.

Theorem 1:- Suppose there exists a function  satisfying the following inequalities:

then the trivial solution of (5.1) is exponentially p-stable

Theorem 2:- Suppose that , then the zero solution of (5.1) is asymptotically mean square stable.

Proof:- Consider the Lyapunov function                                         (5.2)

Choose   and

Then we have, 

               

                 < 0                                                                                                                                              (5.3)

Hence the zero solution of the linearized stochastic differential equation is asymptotically mean square stable, which proves the theorem.

 

 

 

 

 

 

6. NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS:

Case(i): r1=0.5; r2=1.65; r3=5.5; L1=10; L2=20; L3=10; α=0.01; α1=0.05; β=0.05; β1=0.05;  θ1=0.2; θ2=0.2; θ3=0.2.

  

Fig. 1a:                                                                                                          Fig. 1b:

 

Fig. 1c:                                                                                                          Fig. 1d:

 

When the initial strengths of first prey, second prey and predator are 10,12,15 respectively and the interaction coefficient between second prey and the predator is 0.05, initially the strength of the predator falls down to a certain stage very quickly and stabilizes and continues to dominate first and second prey further.  It is also evident from fig. 1a and 1b that all the species are in asymptotic equilibrium state which shows that the state is asymptotically stable.  The stochastic behavior of the model is shown in fig. 1c and 1d.

 

Case(ii): r1=0.5;  r2=1.65;  r3=5.5;  L1=10;  L2=20; L3=10; α=0.01; α1=0.05; β=0.095; β1=0.05;  θ1=0.2; θ2=0.2; θ3=0.2.   

 

Fig. 2a:                                                                                                          Fig. 2b:

 

Fig. 2c:                                                                                                          Fig. 2d:

 

Fig. 2a and 2b shows the variation in the second prey which decreases rapidly when compared to the first prey at the beginning.  It is increasing and stabilizing slowly after some time period by a small change in the interaction coefficient β from 0.05 to 0.095.

 

Case(iii): r1=0.5;  r2=1.65;  r3=5.5;  L1=10;  L2=20; L3=10; α=0.01; α1=0.05; β=0.15; β1=0.05;  θ1=0.2; θ2=0.2; θ3=0.2.   

Fig. 3a:                                                                                                          Fig. 3b:

 

Fig. 3c:                                                                                      Fig. 3d:

 

For β ≥ 0.15, the second prey is completely extinct and the system does not exist.

 

Case(iv): r1=0.5;  r2=1.65;  r3=5.5;  L1=10;  L2=20; L3=10; α=0.025; α1=0.05; β=0.05; β1=0.05;  θ1=0.2; θ2=0.2; θ3=0.2.   

 

Fig. 4a:                                                                                                          Fig. 4b:

 

 

Fig. 4c:                                                                                                          Fig. 4d:

 

Similarly, keeping β=0.05, and changing the interaction coefficient α from 0.01 to 0.025, the above graphs shows the variations again in all the three species in both the deterministic and stochastic cases.

 

7. CONCLUSIONS:

A three species ecological model with prey-predation and neutralism is taken up for stability analysis and stochastic response.  As a particular case study, we have incorporated death coefficients for all the three species and the effects are visible particularly in the populations of the prey species since the survival of preys is mainly dependent on their respective intrinsic growth rates.  The interior equilibrium point is identified for the model and its local stability is obtained using Routh-Hurwitz criterion.  The global stability of the system is established by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function.  Also the exponential and mean square stability of the stochastic model corresponding to the system is derived.  With changes in the interaction coefficients α and β the graphical analysis shows that the predator is benefitting from the preys in spite of the alternate food resource available.  Numerical simulations using MATLAB in both the deterministic and stochastic cases further justifies that the system is globally asymptotically stable.

 

8. REFERENCES:

1.       Lotka AJ. Elements of Physical biology. Williams and Wilkins, Baltimore, 1925.

2.       Volterra V. Leconssen la Theorie Mathematique de la Leitte Pou Lavie. Gauthier-Villars,Paris, 1931.

3.       Freedman HI. Deterministic Mathematical Models in Population Ecology. Marces Decker, New York, 1980.

4.       Kapur JN. Mathematical Modeling in Biology and Medicine.  Affiliated east-west, 1985.

5.       Meyer WJ. Concepts of Mathematical Modelling. Mc Graw-Hill, 1985.

6.       Cushing JM. Integro-differential equations and Delay models in Population Dynamics, Lecture Notes in Biomathematics. Springer- Verlag, Heidelberg, 20: 1997.

7.       Murray JD. Models for interacting populations. Chapter 3, pp. 79-118.

8.       Vidyanath T, Laxmi Narayan K, Shahnaz Bathul. A three species ecological model with a predator and two preying species. International Frontier Sciences Letters. 2016; 9: 26-32.

9.       Ranjith Kumar G, Laxmi Narayan K, Ravindra Reddy B. Dynamics of an SIR epidemic model with a saturated incidence rate under stochastic influence. Global Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics. 2015; 11(2): 175-179.

10.     Gikhaman II, Skorokhod AV. The theory of stochastic process. Springer, 3rd ed: Berlin, 1979.

11.     Afanasev VN, Kolmanowski VB, and  Nosov VR. Mathematical Theory of Control  System Design. Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, Netherlands, 1996.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Received on 15.09.2017       Modified on 28.10.2017

Accepted on 05.12.2017      ©A&V Publications All right reserved

Research J. Science and Tech. 2017; 9(4): 541-548.

DOI:  10.5958/2349-2988.2017.00093.6